(避免明顯的交易陷阱)
如果你要報名為期一週的交易培訓,那麼你可以學到許多很好的基本交易技巧。高級培訓或許可以交易一種新技術,或者是關於市場的新見解。然而,交易課程本身並不是你成功交易生涯的關鍵。如果你高估了交易課程的作用,那麼你很有可能給自己帶來傷害。
有時市場上的一切都似乎很順利。每一筆交易都會盈利,你都忍不住要告訴身邊的人自己的表現是如此的好。為了他們的利益,你只想告訴他們掙錢是多麼的容易(你是多麼的聰明)。但是所有好事都會到頭。市場變化了,你發現很難進行一筆好的交易。你的頭寸經常被止損。作為一位成功的交易者,你在很艱難的獲取盈利。壓力開始增加。
這不再是培訓課程中安全的環境。你變得猶豫不決。你開始懷疑自己的決定。你所學的技術似乎不再起作用。你的交易計劃開始付諸東流。你開始改變自己的交易策略,不斷的從新的技術指標中尋找確定答案。它們給出矛盾的交易信號。你忘記了自己的計劃並開始關註自己的生存…
許多交易課程沒有告訴你將如何面對市場上上的各種情況。它們僅僅給你展現出交易計劃以及該計劃所適用的例子。在解釋基本的概念之後,便讓你投身市場賺取第一桶金。如果真是那麼簡單的話,那麼你認為他們會去開展培訓課嗎?他們沒有告訴你該計劃的不適用情況,沒有告訴你當市場與你做單趨勢相反的時候你將面臨的壓力與不確定性,沒有告訴你市場專業人士是如何引誘新手追漲(追空)的…沒有一個交易培訓會因為缺少經驗而付出代價。交易沒有捷徑。
神奇的宣傳套路
交易課程趨於市場化,並假設交易者普遍性的貪婪、懶惰:他們希望在不付諸努力的情況下賺取大量資金。第二種假設是,交易者是易受騙的。交易課程通常伴隨著高價標簽以及執著的業務員,並以“只有幾千美金的小額投資”向大衆宣傳。
不要將價格與質量混淆。交易課程適用相反遠離——你付出的越多,你的收益就可能越少。我曾經發現講習班的一門課程高達$1000。如果他們向你保證第一年將會盈利$50,000,你該怎麼辦?跑!
貫穿所有市場營銷的共同點是:
• “交易成功的秘訣”
• “如何從市場中盈利的7個簡單步驟”
• “你只需要一台電腦和創造財富的欲望”
知道它們的宣傳套路了吧?它們都為你提供一個毫不費力的盈利前景。可以讓你坐在辦公桌前就可以從市場中獲得大量財富。這些都是很吸引人的理念,不是嗎?但事實上,這就跟“牙仙的傳說”一樣不切實際。
其實沒有通向成功的捷徑。交易課程可以幫助你獲得基本的交易知識、幫你理解市場中不斷出現的陷阱。它們不會教你如何自律以及如何去了解自己的弱點。這些都是要從實踐中獲得。
一個系統的學習方法
1. 從一個實際的目標開始:
• 學到基礎知識?
• 學到一個新的技術?
• 賺取一百萬?
2. 你有足夠的時間去鞏固市場上學到的東西嗎?如果你想成為一名優秀的交易者的話,那麼你每天至少需要花2個小時在上面。
3. 從基礎知識開始,全面的理解,並付諸練習!!!你需要有牢固的基礎。每天看1~2個小時的走勢圖。
• 分析蠟燭圖和交易量圖。
• 識別支撐和阻力位。
• 識別圖表模型。
• 識別趨勢和交易區間。
• 識別不同的時間框架。
• 研究市場和行業指數。
• 研究它們是如何影響每一只股票的。
• 了解股票市場、證券市場以及貨幣商品市場的相互聯系。
4. 尋找一個可以幫助你達到以上要求的交易課程。一個為期兩天的講習班不足以讓你了解所有東西——不論營銷人員如何說。你要從不同的教育機構中去尋找,尋找那些專門訓練經紀人和分析師的課程。這將會需要3~6個月。你不僅會獲得一個很好的基礎,同時你也可以從中學到所有的交易技巧。
5. 從別人的經歷中獲益。搜索交易論壇上關於各種培訓課程的評論。問幾個問題。誰參加了該課程?他們什麼時候參加的?這很重要,因為近期參加的學員通常會熱情洋溢,但是一年以後他們會怎麼想呢?他們是如何獲益的?他們學到了什麼技巧?有實際性的交易課程嗎?他們是否會推薦?
6. 不要認為自己還沒有準備好真實賬戶交易。如果你這麼認為的話,那麼你將很有可能在幾個星期之後被擔架擡出交易市場,不再有重返的可能。草擬出一個交易計劃,用歷史數據檢驗並始終堅持執行——不要改變它,哪怕只是一點點的改動。模擬交易一兩週,直到你已經做好真實交易的準備。
7. 以少量資本進行有效的、謹慎的交易。註重長達12個月的長期回報率,並承諾不因為幾次盈利之後便加大投入資金。那只會表明你已經不受自己的控制。每週都要監控自己的盈利情況,查看並評估每一筆交易:你是否堅決執行自己的計劃。做好以後將如何改變自己交易計劃的筆記——但是現在不要做出任何改變。
8. 不要日内交易。這是交易專家的強項。
9. 交易3個月之後暫停一週,不要做任何交易。回顧一下你的表現,發現自己需要彌補的不足之處。如果你知道自己存在問題,但是不知道如何解決,那麼請咨詢導師。找到一位經驗豐富的成功交易者,與他進行幾個小時的交流。制定出下面3個月的交易計劃並繼續。每隔3個月都要審視一下自己的交易過程。
10. 12個月以後,回顧你的表現。並決定是否要增加本金。24個月,36個月的時候重複進行。
交易書籍
閱讀交易書籍就好比觀看電視如何打闆球。交易書籍可以幫助你比較自己和別人的交易方法並發現自己的不足,但是它們不可替代真實的體驗。同時,交易書籍也以“神奇的方法”原則出售:“解開…的秘密”;“如何在交易市場中盈利”等等。
模擬交易
模擬交易可以幫助你完善自己的交易計劃,但是它不能夠替代真實的交易。在學習的過程中你應該感覺到壓力。如果你不能適應這種壓力,那麼它將擾亂你的決策。
如果你不能忍受高溫
......不要進入廚房。
如果你在交易過程中虧損了,那麼請不要責備你的交易課程提供者、你的經紀人、機構、内部人員、政府、OPEC或是美聯儲。它們僅僅是你交易之前需要考慮的要素。你才是自己的主人,你是責任人,如果你破產,除了你自己沒有人會流一滴眼淚。所以,你要謹慎…準備!
Finding the Right Trading Course
(and avoiding the obvious pitfalls)
If you had to enrol on a one-week trading course, you may learn some good basic trading skills. An advanced course may teach you a new technique, or new insights into the market. However, on their own, they are not the key to a career as a successful trader. If you over-estimate what the course can do for you, you are likely to do yourself harm.
A Cricket Analogy
To those readers not familiar with the game, a cricket ball is delivered at similar speeds to a baseball (up to 160 km/hour). There are two subtle differences: the bat is slightly broader; and the batsman stands on the plate!
If you had to enrol on a week's batting course, involving 3 to 4 hours of batting practice each day, you may learn some good basic batting skills, but it is not necessarily the key to a successful career as a professional batsman. Over-estimate what the course will do for you and you are likely to end up with a serious injury.
In a match you may be fortunate enough to face a few overs of gentle leg spin — even dispatching a few balls to the boundary. Everything seems to go right. But all good things come to an end.
In cricket, as in the market, changes can happen very suddenly. A new bowler is brought on. The ball moves a lot faster. You can't make up your mind quickly enough. Misjudge and you get hit. Surprise, surprise — it hurts. This is not the safe environment of the training ground. Indecision creeps in. You start doubting your own decisions. You can't apply the techniques that you learned. Your batting plan begins to unravel. Every time that you get on the front foot, the ball whistles past your chin — close enough to smell the leather. You take another hit. You forget your plan and concentrate on survival. After a few awkward fends in the interest of self-preservation you fail to protect your stumps.
You head back to the pavilion, totally cowed and fortunate not be carried off on a stretcher.
Sometimes everything just seems to go right in the market. Every trade is a success and you can't resist telling your mates how well you are doing. For their own good you just want them to know how easy it is to make money (and how clever you are). All good things come to an end. The market changes. It seems harder to find good trades. You are frequently stopped out of your positions. You incur a string of small losses. And sure-fire winners struggle to make new gains. The pressure starts to build.
This is no longer the safe environment of the training course. Indecision creeps in. You start doubting your own decisions. The techniques that you learned don't seem to work any more. Your trading plan begins to unravel. You start changing your trading rules, looking for confirmation from additional indicators. They give conflicting signals. You forget your plan and concentrate on survival.....
Many trading courses fail to prepare you for what you will face in the market place. They present you with a trading plan and some fine examples of where the plan works, explain the basic concepts and send you off to make your first million. If it was that easy do you think they would be selling training courses? They fail to prepare you for the times when the plan does not work. They fail to prepare you for the pressure and uncertainty that you will face when the market goes against you. They fail to teach you about professional traders who lure the naive into chasing prices higher or selling a stock lower. No trading course will compensate for a lack of experience. There are no short-cuts.
The Magic Formula
Many trading courses are marketed on the assumption that the average investor is greedy and lazy: they want to make a lot of money without a lot of effort. And a second assumption: that they are gullible. Normally accompanied by hefty price tags and persistent salesman, these courses are pedaled to the public "for a smallinvestment of only a few thousand dollars".
Do not confuse price with quality. Work on the inverse principle - the MORE that you pay, the LESS you are likely to benefit. I have yet to find a course or workshop that is worth more than $1000 (not that I have been on all of them). What if they guarantee that you will make $50,000 in your first year of trading? RUN!!!
Look for the common thread that runs through all their marketing: the magic formula.
• "The Secrets of Trading Success"
• "How to Profit From the Market in 7 Easy Steps"
• "all you need is a computer and the desire to create wealth"
Recognize the magic formula? All of them offer you the prospect of wealth without effort. The ability to extract a fortune from the market without moving from your chair. An appealing concept isn't it? So is the tooth fairy.
There are no magic formulas. Trading courses may help you to gain a good working knowledge of the basics and an understanding of some of the traps and pitfalls that you face in the market every day. What they (or I) cannot teach you is self-discipline and an understanding of your own human weaknesses. That comes with experience. And loads of practice.
A Systematic Approach
11. Start with a realistic goal in mind:
• Do you want to learn the basics?
• Learn a new technique?
• Or make a million dollars?
12. Do you have sufficient time to practice what you learn from the course?
Work on a minimum of 2 hours a day if you want to become a good trader.
13. Learn the basics first. Know them thoroughly. And PRACTICE!!!
You need a strong foundation. Read charts for 1 to 2 hours a day.
• Analyze candlesticks (or OHLC bars) and volume
• Identify support and resistance levels
• Identify chart patterns
• Identify trends and trading ranges
• Identify the various time frames
• Study market and sector indices
• Learn the influence that these have on individual stocks
• And the interaction between various equity markets, bond markets, currencies and commodities
14. Seek out a trading course that will help you to achieve this. A two-day workshop is not going to teach you all that you need to know - no matter what the salesman says. Seek out courses run by various educational institutions - the kind attended by trainee stockbrokers and analysts. The kind that take 3 to 6 months. You will not learn all the tricks of the trade but you will gain a good basic grounding.
15. Benefit from the experience of others. Search trading forums for discussion on various training courses. Ask a few questions. Who has been on the course? When did they do the course? This is important: recent participants are normally fired with enthusiasm but how will they feel a year later? How have they benefited? What skills did they learn? Is there any ongoing support? Are there any realistic trading sessions? Would they recommend it?
16. Don't make the mistake of believing that you are now ready to enter the market. Do so and you may be stretchered off after a few weeks, never to return. Draw up a trading plan. Back test it with historical data and then stick to it - don't keep fine tuning it. Paper trade for a month or two - until you feel that you are ready to enter the market.
17. Take the smallest amount of capital that you can effectively trade with and cautiously enter the market. Concentrate on achieving the best possible return over a 12 month period. Make the commitment. Don't get excited after a few wins and increase your capital. That is a sure sign that you are not in control - the market is controlling you. Monitor your performance every week. Review each trade and assess whether you have stuck to your plan. Make notes for later as to how you could improve your plan - but don't make any changes now.
18. Don't day-trade. Leave that for the professionals.
19. After 3 months, pause for a week. Don't place any trades. Review your performance. Identify any gaps in your knowledge that need additional work (or study). If you know there is a problem but are unsure how to solve it, consult a mentor. Find an experienced (and successful) trader who is prepared to part with a few hours of his time. Set your trading plan for the next 3 months and continue. Review at regular 3 month intervals.
20. After 12 months, review your performance and decide whether you are ready to commit more capital to the market.
Do this again after 24 months, 36 months and so on.
Trading Books
Reading trading books is like learning how to play cricket by watching television. Trading books are useful for comparing your approach to others and identifying areas where you can improve your game but they are no substitute for actual experience. Again, most books are sold on the "magic formula" principle: "Unlock the Secrets to ......."; "How to Make Money in the Stock Market"; etc.
Paper Trading
Paper trading may help to perfect your technique but it is no substitute for live practice. You have to feel the pressure in order to learn. If you are not accustomed to the pressure, it will cloud your decisions when you can least afford it.
If you can't stand the Heat
......don't play in the kitchen.
If you do lose money in the market, don't blame your course provider, your broker, the institutions, insiders, the government, OPEC or the Fed. They are just some of the factors that you have to take into account in your preparation. You are responsible. You are on your own. No-one except you is going to shed a tear if you burn your capital. So take care ...... and PREPARE!
本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供
文章來源:http://www.incrediblecharts.com/trading/trading_courses.php