2014年10月3日，星期五
根據幾個很有名的專家所說，股價下跌50%只是時間的問題。
“面對即將到來的一場很嚴重的股票市場崩盤，我們沒有權利吃驚”，Mark Spitznagel說道。他因在2008年世界危機中獲得數十億的盈利而變得臭名昭著。“事實上，我們必須完全指望它”
不幸的是，Spitznagel 並不是唯一的一個持這種說法的人。
“我們正在經歷一個巨大的金融資產泡沫”，瑞士顧問以及基金經理Marc Faber說道。“它隨時都有可能爆發”。
Faber毫不猶豫地把責任明確地歸結到奧巴馬的大政府政策以及美聯儲高風險的低息政策，這些政策，他說道，“懲罰了賺錢的人，儲蓄的人，也就是你的父母——為什麼要強迫他們去炒作股票，房地產以及其他所有陽光下的東西呢？”
據傳，億萬投資家華倫巴菲特正在為一次股市崩盤做準備。“華倫巴菲特指標”，也被稱為“總市值與GDP的比值”，這在打破出售警報的水平，崩盤隨時可能發生。
不可避免的崩盤正在臨近，華爾街的投資者在做什麼？一種選擇是賣掉你所有的股票並將錢取出，另一種方法是冒險度過這次風暴。
Sean Hyman，絕對盈利公司（Absolute Profits）的創始人，他提供了第三種方法。“有些特定的行業會保證在接下來的幾個月中表現良好”， Hyman解釋。“現在離開股市代價是很大的”。
Hyman 為何會如此肯定？
他得到了華爾街投資日歷，它從1968年開始就實現了250%的總體盈利。這個日歷僅僅列出了19只股票投資（根據其市場領域）以及買賣它們的38個日期，通過這種方法，你可以在20年的時間内將$1,000轉換成高達$178,000的盈利。
“但是這個日歷只是我投資系統的一部分，” Hyman補充說。“我也設計了一個危機警報系統，他可以在一個大回調之前警告投資者。”
（危機警告系統實際上是冷戰時期編碼核彈頭飛行模式的一個人設計的，它可以實現接近100%的準確性）。
Hyman解釋說，如果市場開始暴跌，危機警告系統就會發出賣出信號，提醒交易者變現。“如果你在2000~2008年期間使用我們這個基於回溯測試的系統，那麼你將會完全避免經濟危機”，“想像一下如果你成功避免那些恐怖的抛售潮，你將會避免損失多少資金。”。
有人可能會認為Sean過於自信，但是他已經在數以萬計的人們面前一次又一次地證明了自己的正確性。
彭博財經頻道在2012年的採訪中，Hyman成功的預測到百思買股票每股將會降至$11，之後會在下面幾個月反彈到$40。事實證明，這只股票確實與Hyman預測的一樣。
然後，他福克斯的Gerri Willis於 2013年對他的商業採訪中預測：盡管投資者中存在大量的抛售潮，但是市場將會反彈到15，000的新高。股票市場幾乎立刻反彈到了Hymn預測的目標價位。
“有些人認為我們幸運，”Hymn說。“但這和運氣是毫無關系的。它和我使用的某種工具有關，比如華爾街的交易日歷以及我的危機警告系統。”
金融市場越來越不穩定，成千上萬的人湧向Hymn並尋求他的指導。他每月時訊期刊有超越114,000名訂閱者，他的投資視頻也被點擊了上萬次。在近期的一個視頻中，他不僅揭示了華爾街投資日歷也展示了他的危機警告系統是如何工作的，這樣任何人都可以跟隨他的腳步。
Warning: Stocks Will Collapse by 50%
Friday, 3，Oct，2014 02:02 AM
It is only a matter of time before the stock market plunges by 50% or more, according to several reputable experts.
“We have no right to be surprised by a severe and imminent stock market crash,” explains Mark Spitznagel, a hedge fund manager who is notorious for his hugely profitable billion-dollar bet on the 2008 crisis. “In fact, we must absolutely expect it."
Unfortunately Spitznagel isn’t alone.
“We are in a gigantic financial asset bubble,” warns Swiss adviser and fund manager Marc Faber. “It could burst any day.”
Faber doesn’t hesitate to put the blame squarely on President Obama’s big-government policies and the Federal Reserve’s risky low-rate policies, which, he says, “penalize the income earners, the savers who save, your parents — why should your parents be forced to speculate in stocks and in real estate and everything under the sun?”
Billion-dollar investor Warren Buffett is rumored to be preparing for a crash as well. The “Warren Buffett Indicator,” also known as the “Total Market Cap to GDP Ratio,” is breaching sell-alert status and a collapse may happen at any moment.
So with an inevitable crash looming, what are Main Street investors to do? One option is to sell all your stocks and stuff your money under the mattress, and another option is to risk everything and ride out the storm.
But according to Sean Hyman, founder of Absolute Profits, there is a third option.
“There are specific sectors of the market that are all but guaranteed to perform well during the next few months,” Hyman explains. “Getting out of stocks now could be costly.”
How can Hyman be so sure?
He has access to a secret Wall Street calendar that has beaten the overall market by 250% since 1968. This calendar simply lists 19 investments (based on sectors of the market) and 38 dates to buy and sell them, and by doing so, one could turn $1,000 into as much as $178,000 in a 20-year time frame.
“But this calendar is just one part of my investment system,” Hyman adds. “I have also designed a Crash Alert System that is designed to warn investors before a major correction as well.”
(The Crash Alert System was actually programmed by one of the individuals who coded nuclear missile flight patterns during the Cold War so that it could be as close to 100% accurate as possible).
Hyman explains that if the market starts to plunge, the Crash Alert System will signal a sell signal warning investors to go to cash.
“You would have been able to completely avoid the 2000 and 2008 collapses if you were using this system based on our back-testing,” Hyman explains. “Imagine how much more money you would have if you had avoided those horrific sell-offs.”
One might think Sean is being too confident, but he has proven himself correct in front of millions of people time and time again.
In a 2012 interview on Bloomberg Television, Hyman correctly predicted that Best Buy would drop down to $11 a share and then it would rally back up to $40 a share over the next few months. The stock did exactly what Hyman predicted.
Then, during a Fox Business interview with Gerri Willis in early 2013, he forecast that the market would rally to new highs of 15,000 despite the massive sell-off that was haunting investors. The stock market almost immediately rebounded and hit Hyman’s targets.
“A lot of people think I am lucky,” Hyman said. “But it has nothing to do with luck. It has everything to do with certain tools I use. Tools like the secret Wall Street calendar and my Crash Alert System.”
With more financial uncertainty than ever, thousands of people are flocking to Sean Hyman for his guidance. He has over 114,000 subscribers to his monthly newsletter, and his investment videos have been seen millions of times.
In a recent video, Hyman not only reveals the secret Wall Street calendar, he also shows how his Crash Alert System works so that anybody can follow in his footsteps
本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供
文章來源：http://www.moneynews.com/MKTNewsIntl/stock-market-crash-warren-buffett-indicator/2014/10/03/id/598461/?dkt_nbr=ufos34vz&utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral