知識並非從交易中來

2015-09-14 15:28:04

今天我去了迪士尼樂園,我要告訴你,我在迪士尼沒學到任何交易知識。在這裡也學不到任何東西。我沒學到養生知識,我沒學到累的時候稍作休息,沒學到耐心地教育孩子,沒學到一杯水要多少錢,沒學到行星繞太陽的運轉週期,也沒學到在孩子沒完沒了地要樂高玩具時說不。

在交易中學習?請三思

從某種角度來看,交易和迪士尼是一樣的。你在交易中也學不到什麼,至少學不到什麼有用的。這同主流的觀點相矛盾。請盡情地嘲笑我吧,但在嘲諷我之前,請給我幾分鐘讓我解釋一下。

在交易進行中,你不是在學習,你是在經歷。經驗是個很好的老師,但它卻是馬後炮。就像你在迪士尼盡情玩耍時,肯定學不會勤儉節約,但是當你回到家看到長長的信用卡賬單時,你就知道該省著點花錢了。

在交易進行中,你了解不到任何事物的價值。你認為任何一次波動都會帶來狂喜和恐慌,你認為每一次移動都是趨勢的最後一步,至少在你看著走勢圖準備交易的時候是這樣的。

在交易進行中,你學不到耐心。除了看舞會殺人夜和你第一個孩子出生之外,這是你最沒有耐心的時候。

在交易進行中,如果你試圖對你的操作進行評價,或是認為自己可以做得更好,那你就沒救了。在交易進行中,你不可能重新做計劃。在交易開始之前就做好規劃,為可能出現的盈利、虧損都做好心理準備,剩下的就是依據設定好的步驟來進行。重要的事情要反複強調:做好決定再行動,無論出現什麼狀況都依計行事。因此在交易中就不需要做決定,也不需要吸取教訓了。

謀而後動

之所以這樣做,是因為在交易進行中,你是在操作,而不是在思考、衡量或推理。你要做的事情是一一對應的。你的杏仁核、大腦根部或是蜥蜴腦,無論它叫什麼,在你交易過程中,只有這一部分發生變化,尤其是在讓人想破腦袋的短期交易中。

Everything I Need To Know About Trading, I Learned From Not Trading

Today I’m in Disneyland. And I am going to tell you, I did not learn anything about trading from Disneyland. There is not one useful thing here, that you can apply to anywhere else in the world. I did not learn about healthy eating. I did not learn about pacing myself and resting when I was tired. I did not learn anything about being patient with my children. I did not learn anything about how much a bottle of water should cost. I did not learn anything about physics, the rotation of the planets around the sun, or how to say no to my children when they ask if they can buy more Legos.

Learning While Trading? Think Again 

And in that way, Disneyland is very similar to trading. You see, you don’t learn much about trading from trading. At least, nothing useful – when you are live trading, you are not learning anything. This is contrary to popular belief and by all means, bring on the ridicule. However, save your criticisms for just a few moments while I try to make my point.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you are not learning, rather you are experiencing. And experience is a great teacher – after the fact. Just like, Disneyland is terrible for teaching you about being frugal and saving money while you are Disneyland, and it’s great for teaching you about that after you get home and look at your credit card bill.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you don’t know the value of anything. You think that any small movement is reason for panic or euphoria. Every candle looks like a Viagra candle. Every move seems like the end, for good or bad. At least it can get that way when we are looking at the charts and trying to trade for a living.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you don’t learn anything about patience. You’re the least patient you will ever be in your life, except for your prom night and maybe the day your first child is born. These two events may be connected in some way, which I find kind of funny. Anyway.

When you are in the middle of the trade, if you are tempted to start evaluating what you’ve done, or think about what you could have done better, you’re already dead. You don’t re-plan a battle when you’re in the middle of it. Set the ground rules in advance, know exactly what it will look like if it is a bad trade, and what it looks like if it is a good trade, and then act accordingly. Know your decisions ahead of time. This is so important I should spend an entire podcast just talking about that. It bears repeating: Know your decisions ahead of time, so all you have to do in the moment is react naturally. No decisions to make, no lessons you’re trying to teach yourself.

Man With A Plan

The reason for all of this is that in the middle of a live trade, you are doing, you are not pondering, thinking, evaluating, reasoning. You are doing actions and reactions. Your amygdala, or the root of your brain, or the lizard brain, or whatever they call it – that’s what is in charge. Especially for those of you crack heads that are trading on the really short-term charts. But really, for all of us. Just two days ago I planned a buy trade on the EUR/NZD – and I sent it out to (and I am not making this up) 43,000 people.

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供

文章來源:http://www.financemagnates.com/executives/insights/everything-need-know-trading-learned-trading/

 承諾與聲明

兄弟財經是全球歷史最悠久,信譽最好的外匯返佣代理。多年來兄弟財經兢兢業業,穩定發展,獲得了全球各地投資者的青睞與信任。歷經十餘年的積澱,打造了我們在業内良好的品牌信譽。

本文所含内容及觀點僅為一般信息,並無任何意圖被視為買賣任何貨幣或差價合約的建議或請求。文中所含内容及觀點均可能在不被通知的情況下更改。本文並未考 慮任何特定用戶的特定投資目標、財務狀況和需求。任何引用歷史價格波動或價位水平的信息均基於我們的分析,並不表示或證明此類波動或價位水平有可能在未來 重新發生。本文所載信息之來源雖被認為可靠,但作者不保證它的準確性和完整性,同時作者也不對任何可能因參考本文内容及觀點而產生的任何直接或間接的損失承擔責任。

外匯和其他產品保證金交易存在高風險,不適合所有投資者。虧損可能超出您的賬戶註資。增大槓桿意味著增加風險。在決定交易外匯之前,您需仔細考慮您的財務目標、經驗水平和風險承受能力。文中所含任何意見、新聞、研究、分析、報價或其他信息等都僅 作與本文所含主題相關的一般類信息.

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