日突破交易策略

本文作者是Maite Krausse，首次刊登在2014月12月出版的《交易者雜志》中。

Maite Krausse 自從拿到工商管理學位之後便一直對股市感興趣。現在，她已經是一個專業的外匯日交易者。她的丈夫，Maite，會為交易員提供專業支持——找出日内交易信號，分析以及提供建議。

如果在突破之後交易外匯
無論交易員處於何種外匯交易層次，這都是一個問題：哪種交易策略可以帶來最大盈利？哪種交易系統可以讓您的賬戶在外匯市場中安然無恙？我們不能承諾交易聖杯，因為它根本不存在。但是卻存在一種在市場波動階段取得較高盈利的交易策略：突破交易策略。

簡單的方法——巨大的效果
突破交易方法可以很好的適用於5大主要貨幣對。我們使用歐洲以及美國交易時間（歐洲中部時間8am至10pm）來涵蓋重大的財經事件。價格突破的醞釀區間是歐洲中部時間的12am至8am。這個時間段是對特定的某一天有作用——接下來的一天你需要重新定義它，因此，該策略適合日交易者。8am之前的最高點是交易的上限，阻力位以及最低點是支撐位。如果價格突破上限或者是最低點，那麼在突破最高點後做多；擊穿最低點後做空。交易者不需要一直盯著圖表——我們在8am設置buy stop、sell stop挂單。一旦挂單被觸發，我們就會讓倉位維持一整天。在市場波幅小的時候，我們使用1：2風險回報比率；有重大經濟事件（比如美聯儲將公佈利率決議）的時候採取1：4風險回報比。我們每筆交易的風險都不能大於本金的2%——相對於4%~8%的盈利而言。如果結合15~25個點的移動止損的話，風險管理將會變得更加容易。

開倉
我們在歐洲中部時間12am~8am利用15分鐘圖觀察價格波動範圍。我們會在這個時間段内確定日内波動的最高點和最低點。我們在高於最高點2~5個點處設置多單挂單；在低於最低點2~5個點處設置做空挂單。此外，我們利用小時圖來觀察支撐和阻力位。我們決定是在阻力還是在支撐位賣出。

平倉
貪婪是交易的7宗罪之一。但是任何一位交易者都能感受到單子處於盈利中的感覺並且都希望盈利更多點差。這種感覺非常普遍，因此，你需要有很強的、固定盈利的交易計劃。根據市場波動，盈利可以鎖定在40~100點之間。市場平靜的時候盈利目標可以設置相對小點；波動大的時候比如美聯儲利率決議的時候盈利目標可以設置為100點。這樣，突破策略就足夠明確，它可以幫助你樹立交易信心——去除貪婪和恐懼。你應該始終遵循開倉和平倉策略，同時，也要接受平倉後的假突破或者巨大的盈利空間。

The Daily Breakout Strategy
This article written by Maite Krausse was originally published in the november 2014 issue of Traders' Magazine.
• Maite Krausse has been interested in the stock markets since taking her degree in business administration. Today she is a professional day trader and is specialised on forex. Her husband and Maite offer professional support to traders – finding daily trading signals, analysis and tips.
How to Trade Breakouts in Forex
It is always the same question for traders of all experience-levels in Forex: Which strategy achieves the most profit and which trading system will save the account in the forex market? We cannot promise the Holy Grail, because it simply does not exist in trading. But there is a helpful strategy that achieves high profits in volatile market phases: the breakout strategy.

Simple Approach – Huge Effect
Breakouts are best used with the majors, the five major currency pairs. We use the volatile trading times of the European and American trading session (8 am until 10 pm Central European Time) to cover the fundamental events. The price range that the price shall “break” is formed from 12 am to 8 am CET and offers the trader the basic trading approach for the following day at 8 am. This  range is valid for the particular day – you’ll define it again on the next day and therefore this strategy is useful for day traders. The highs until 8 am are the upper border and the resistance level and the lows are the support levels. If the price exceeds the high or undercuts the low, the buy order above the high or the sell order below the low is executed. The trader does not need to watch the chart the whole time – we enter pending orders at 8 am for the buy and sell entries. As soon as a buy or sell order is executed the trade is managed all day – we use a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on quiet days and a risk-reward ratio of 1:4 on economically important days, for example a Fed decision regarding interest rates. We do not risk more than one or two per cent of trading capital per trade – in contrast to four or eight per cent of profit possibility. Trade management is simple with an automatic trailing stop of 15 to 25 pips.  

Entries
We observe the price range between 12 am to 8 am CET in the 15-minute chart. During this time we determine the highs and lows. We enter two to five pips above the high or two to five pips below the low. Furthermore, we look at support and resistance levels in the hourly chart. We determine sell orders above resistance and sell orders below support.

Exits
Greed is one of the cardinal sins in trading. But every trader knows the feeling of a trade in profit and you want to achieve even  more pips. This is a very human feeling and therefore you need a strong trading plan with fixed take-profit rules. We calculate it based on the RRR and we follow it strictly. For example, we can determine the stop-loss (SL) at 20 to 30 pips. The take profit (TP) is determined at 40 to 100 pips, depending on market fluctuation. We choose a smaller TP in quiet market phases and a higher TP on days of interest rate decisions and other big events. If a trade is stopped out with a loss, we can re-enter on the same day, again with a pending order. The breakout strategy is now clearly determined and that helps the psyche of the trader – cancelling out greed and fear. You should always follow your entry and exit rules and you should accept false breakouts or huge profits after your TP.  

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供

文章來源：http://www.fxstreet.com/education/technical/the-daily-breakout-strategy/2014/11/21/