如何信任你的交易計劃

對於交易者來說，最諷刺的莫過於自己便是自己最不信任的人。大多數交易者（包括我）對待交易事業時都對自己的直覺無比自信，而對自己的交易計劃將信將疑。在我們進行交易之時，最擅長馬後炮、最妨礙我們的人就是我們自己。

在連續幾個月的交易計劃中，中斷一兩次便會導致功虧一篑。沖動交易會控制我們的大腦，並“試圖重返市場”，結果就是賬戶急速縮水。

在交易之中，最瘋狂的事情莫過於你一直做得很對，可一旦出錯，便會一錯再錯。除了交易（以及氣象學），再沒有哪個職業能夠接受如此高頻率的失敗了。比如牙醫。一旦你學會了堵牙洞，再重複堵上成百上千個牙洞也不會出錯。但是在交易中，尤其是在快速的日内交易中，一天犯上一兩次錯誤是極有可能的。

我們該如何信任自己的交易計劃呢？練習，練習，再練習。交易是一種身體接觸類項目，只有通過不斷地重複才能夠掌握。用模擬賬戶來練習是很多交易者會犯的錯誤。在我看來，模擬交易沒有什麼用處。它會給你帶來錯誤的感受和反饋，尤其是你的賬戶裡有幾百萬美元的時候。模擬賬戶的用處只有一個——熟悉交易軟件。一旦學會，你就要改用真倉來交易。為什麼呢？因為模擬賬戶永遠無法複制真實交易的心理壓力。

零售外匯平台的好處是你可以將交易點值設置為10美分，這樣一來，你就可以用極少的代價來體驗真倉了。你按照交易計劃交易得越多，就越能體會到真實市場的複雜之處，就會變得愈加有耐心，就越發信賴你的交易計劃，也更加信任你自己。

How To Trust Your Setup

One of the great ironies of life is that as traders we often trust ourselves least of all. Most traders (myself included) approach the whole enterprise with deadly combination of overweening sense of arrogance in our ability and underwhelming sense of confidence in our trade setups. When it comes trading no one can second guess or sabotage us better than ourselves.

All it takes is one or two stop outs in a row and suddenly the setup that we worked on for months, goes out the window. Impulsive trading takes over as we "try to get it back from the market" and the account soon plunges into a deep drawdown.

The most maddening thing about trading is that even if you are doing everything right you will be wrong continuously. In no other profession (except perhaps meteorology) does such a high rate of failure seem acceptable. Take dentistry. Once you know how to fill a cavity, you can repeat the process hundreds, thousands of times without ever making an error. In trading, especially in rapid day trading you will likely make an error at least once or twice each day.

So how we learn to trust our setups? Practice, practice, practice. Trading is contact sport and can only be mastered through endless repetition. One of the biggest mistakes that many traders make is to learn on a demo account. Demo trading in my opinion is less that useless. It creates a false sense of control and overblown sense of importance especially if you trade with "millions' of demo dollars. Demo trading is good for only one thing - getting to know the trading software. Once that's done you need to trade with real money. Why? Because you can never replicate the psychological pressures of real trading unless you have skin the game.

The great benefit of many retail FX trading platforms is that you can configure your size down to a 10 cent pip so you can still trade with real money but not have to pay much for your education. The more you trade your setup, the more you will learn its intricacies under real market conditions. The more patient you will become. The more you will start to trust your setup and the more you will start to trust yourself.

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供
文章來源：http://www.actionforex.com/articles-library/forex-articles/how-to-trust-your-setup-2008102565807/