對沖策略以及止損方案

2015-03-10 16:02:47


交易策略
市場交易情況的不確定性導致了不同的交易方向。許多交易者因為根據分析師、銀行交易商或者是其他市場參與人士的錯誤分析交易而產生虧損。原因非常簡單——他們已經不自覺的變成了投機者。所以,在技術分析以及基礎分析的名義下,加之良好格式化的聲明,他們持續地在誤導交易者,這就好比一場賭博。


交易方案
有以下三種交易類型方式:
1. 定向交易——買或賣主要貨幣對(EUR、GBP、YEN、CHF、AUD 以及 CAD)——在價格最高點處做空,並當價格探底時平倉獲利。
2.技術策略交易——在價格最高點上方買入,並在價格快速上升時平倉;或者,在價格最低點下方做空,並當價格快速下降時平倉獲利。識別操作者的意圖、選擇正確的交易方式是保證你盈利的唯一辦法。


輕松交易
交易的主要吸引力是其潛在的掙錢速度快於任何一種正常收入過程。每一個人都想要多多的掙錢來維持生計並提高生活水平。但是,如果你不了解這個遊戲以及其中可能陷阱的話,那麼交易就有可能看起來像賭博。一個客觀的交易者需要在充滿壓力的環境中依靠堅強的信念做出鎮定的決策,他不能向情緒化以及沮喪的決定妥協。那些做出情緒化決定的交易者通常會淪為交易員的目標。交易員十分清楚,價格的快速上升會引發強烈的情緒,並導致令人沮喪的持倉情況或者是激發他們在沒有真正明白自己交易意圖之前提前開倉。問題是:“你能在充分理解交易員的真實意圖之後避免這種情況嗎?”答案是:“對的,這是可能的。”通過對沖以及提前設置對沖挂單,我們可以很輕松的進行交易。我們可以因此不設置止損,並盡可能的進行任一方向。對沖也可以幫助我們在沒有任何損失的情況下繼續持倉,直到有利行情到來。對於輕松交易者來說,選擇沒有隔夜利息或者其他費用的平台很重要。


對沖策略:這是雙向參與市場交易的方法,因為市場總是有可能向任一方向移動。
1、你可以選擇諸如EUR/GBP或者EUR/CHF等的貨幣對做對沖。在給定的時間内做多ERU/USD挂多單,EUR/GBP挂空單,並設25點的止損。一旦市場方向確定,那麼與市場方向相反的單子就會被觸發止損,與市場方向相同的單子則可以實現50~60點的盈利。同樣,EUR/USD、USD/CHF也可以使用上述對沖方法。
2、你可以利用另外一個平台實現同樣貨幣對的對沖。其中一個平台做多EUR/GBP,另外一個平台在EUR/GBP的止損位置設置做空挂單。這樣你一個平台的虧損就可以在另外一個平台得到彌補。你也可以在空單挂單下面10個點處設置做多挂單或者等待市場恢複。在給定的時間内,市場可能向某一個方向移動一百點,接下來回調50點。所以,如果市場價格下降,一個平台的空單挂單被觸發,你應該在獲利60點的位置平倉並做多。在價格回調50%之後,不論多單是盈利還是虧損,都應該平倉。這些交易應該在一個交易時段(8小時)内完成。
3、雙重對沖——你可以在一個平台設置某一貨幣對的做多挂單,另外一個平台在該貨幣對的止損位置處設置2倍於多單交易量的做空挂單。這會讓你在一個交易時段的2個小時内獲利。一旦行情變得明朗,你關閉其中一個逆市的挂單。如果雙重做空的挂單進場,那麼當其盈利2倍於多單虧損時,關閉一半倉位,這樣你就實現了完全 盈利。


如何使用止損
1.避免意想不到的虧損——在30~50點處設置止損,這樣只會產生有限虧損。如果止損被觸發則停止進一步交易。
2.在交易策略中應用止損——如果你感覺市場調整後將會上升,那麼多單進場後可以在近期的價格最低點下方10點處設置止損。可以採用雙重止損(多單的二倍成交量),它可以交易區間改變的時候限定虧損。
3、止損也可以用作對沖——如果你有EUR/USD的多單,那麼你可以相應地做空GBP/USD或者做多USD/CHF。這樣,如果市場不利於其中一個貨幣對的走勢,那麼就會吻合另外一個——如果其中一個虧損35點,那麼將其平倉並通過另外一個貨幣對彌補該虧損。這中策略你可以在任何一個給定的時間内採用——最好是在某一個外匯市場開盤的時候。


Trading strategies and solutions
Trading Strategies
Trades differ based on the variations in market conditions from time to time. Many traders make huge losses in markets based on misguided market perceptions of analysts, dealers of banks and anyone willing to offer an opinion on the market. The reason is quite simple -- knowingly or unknowingly they are all part of the operators group. So in the name of technical and fundamental analysis, and a nicely formatted disclaimer, they continue to misguide traders making currency trading look a lot similar to gambling.
The Trading solution
There are three type of trades:
1. Directional trade - Doing a Sell and Buy trade in other majors (EUR,GBP,YEN,CHF,AUD and CAD) - Sell near the high and book profit near the low.
2. Technical trade - Buy above the high in other majors and close during quick spikes / Sell below the low in other majors and book profit during quick downward spikes.
Identification of the operator intention and the selection of the right type of trade is the only solution that will give an assured profit.
Trade at Ease
The main attraction of trading is the potential to earn money faster than any other normal process of earning. Every one wants to earn in order to support and enhance their living conditions. But trading will look like gambling if you don't understand the game and also the potential traps. An objective trader needs to have a strong mind to take calm decisions during distress conditions and not give in to emotional or frustrated decisions.
Those who make emotional trades become the target of the operators. Operators know well that making very quick spikes trigger strong emotions and make traders do distress trades with the existing position or take new positions without having understood their overall intention. The question is - "Can you prevent such trades by understanding the intentions of the operators?".
The answer is - "Yes, it is possible." We can trade at ease by using hedging and advance hedging. We can use them instead of stops and aim to do either way trades if possible. Hedging will also help us to carry forward the positions without any equity loss, till a favorable move comes. Choosing a platform that does not collect over night interest or premium is the best for such position trading at ease. GCI Financial's (one of our affiliates) trading platform has such facilities keeping in mind that traders should not be restricted at all sides. Trading at ease is the objective.
You can do easy tension free trades through this trading platform specially designed keeping traders requirements in mind.
A few sample trading strategies:
Hedging strategies:It is a two-way participation in market as the market can either move up or down.
1.You can take two pairs like Euro and GBP or Euro and CHF for hedging. Take euro long and GBP short at a given time. Put stop with 25 pips. Once the direction of the market is known then the unfavorable will trigger stop and favorable allow profit booking of 50-60 pips. Similarly Euro long CHF long and do the same.
2.You can take the hedging in another platform in the same currency. Take EURO long in one and the stop level short in another platform. Your loss is one is compensated in another. Either you can cut the long 10 pip below the short level or wait for the market to recover. the market will move in one direction maximum of 100 pips in a given time and then it retraces 50% immediately. So if the market moves down then the stop in another platform is triggered and book profit with 60 pips profit. and then take a long there and once 50% recovery comes book profit around the initial buy level and cut the original long with minimal loss or profit. This you have to do within a session.(8 Hrs)
3.Hedging with double - you can take long in one pair and double short in the same in another platform at stop level. This will make you to book profit in 2 hrs time with in session. Once the direction become clear after taking the position you can cut the unfavorable and allow the other to run and once you cover the double short - one out of that will compensate the loss in stop trigger in the unfavorable and the other will be the profit.
Ways to view Stops:
1.To avoid unexpected loss - put stop above 30-50 pips, the loss is limited and don't do further trades if the stop is triggered.
2.Using stop in trading strategy -when you feel the market will rise from a correction level you buy and put stop with 10 pip below the days low. This can be even double stop (double the quantity of long). This helps to restrict the loss once the trading zone is shifted. Double stop will make you short with one lot and once you cover the short with equal or more of the initial loss levels then you come out with no loss or with profit.
3.Stop can be a hedging - when you have a long in one currency like euro, then the corresponding currency either in GBP you can take short at the same time or long in CHF at the same time. So if the market is unfavorable in one pair then it is favorable in another pair - once 35 pips loss is seen in one, cut that position and allow the other profit to run to make more than 35 pips profits in a given day. This strategy you can adopt at any given time - preferably at the beginning of a session.


本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供


文章來源:
http://www.i-knowindices.com/index.jsp

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兄弟財經是全球歷史最悠久,信譽最好的外匯返佣代理。多年來兄弟財經兢兢業業,穩定發展,獲得了全球各地投資者的青睞與信任。歷經十餘年的積澱,打造了我們在業内良好的品牌信譽。

本文所含内容及觀點僅為一般信息,並無任何意圖被視為買賣任何貨幣或差價合約的建議或請求。文中所含内容及觀點均可能在不被通知的情況下更改。本文並未考 慮任何特定用戶的特定投資目標、財務狀況和需求。任何引用歷史價格波動或價位水平的信息均基於我們的分析,並不表示或證明此類波動或價位水平有可能在未來 重新發生。本文所載信息之來源雖被認為可靠,但作者不保證它的準確性和完整性,同時作者也不對任何可能因參考本文内容及觀點而產生的任何直接或間接的損失承擔責任。

外匯和其他產品保證金交易存在高風險,不適合所有投資者。虧損可能超出您的賬戶註資。增大槓桿意味著增加風險。在決定交易外匯之前,您需仔細考慮您的財務目標、經驗水平和風險承受能力。文中所含任何意見、新聞、研究、分析、報價或其他信息等都僅 作與本文所含主題相關的一般類信息.

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