影響利率的因素有哪些？

在貨幣市場中，交易者在貨幣走勢順心時買入或賣出貨幣，但卻不考慮當前的全球新聞或事件。貨幣就像是另一種大宗商品，也會受到供需關系的影響。當越來越多的人追逐某個貨幣時，該貨幣的價值就會增加。當需求降低，或是人們不想持有某種貨幣時，該貨幣的價值就會下跌。哪些因素會影響到貨幣的供需關系呢？

經濟增長

投資者要確保投資的貨幣擁有堅實的經濟基礎和穩定的增長。貨幣交易者通過觀察失業率、貿易量、GDP等數據來判斷經濟增長。

如果出現以下情況：
壞  失業率上升
好  失業率下降
好  GDP增長
壞  GDP下降
好  出口增長
壞  出口下降

利率

資金時刻追隨著利率。如果利率上漲，資金就會從全世界流入該國，因為投資者會將資金投入高收益的貨幣中。若想知道利率的增減，投資者要時刻關註經濟通脹指標和重要人士講話。一般來講，利率調整的時間是會提前公佈的。BOE, FED, ECB, BOJ等各國央行都會定期召開會議，讨論是否對利率進行調整。

如果出現以下情況：
好  利率上漲
壞  利率下降

政治穩定性

選舉風波、政權更叠、高失業率以及國際沖突都會使得投資者捂緊錢袋、提高警惕。投資者會特別關註該國的重大新聞。

如果出現以下情況：
壞  地緣政治緊張
壞  自然災害
壞  恐怖主義威脅

What Moves Rates?

In the currency market, traders buy and sell currencies with the hope of making a profit when the value of the currencies changes in their favor, whether from market news or events that take place around the world. Currencies, just like any other commodity that can be bought or sold, are subject to the laws of supply and demand. When more people want a particular currency, the cost of the currency in terms of other currencies will go up. When demand decreases or people do not want to hold a country’s currency, the value will go down. What factors affect supply and demand for a currency?

Economic Growth

Investors want to be sure that they are investing in a solid economy that is achieving steady growth. Currency traders looking to assess the economic growth of a country will look at unemployment, trade, and GDP data.

What Happens If...
BAD Rise in Unemployment
GOOD Fall in Unemployment
GOOD Rise in GDP
BAD Fall in GDP
GOOD Rise in Exports
BAD Fall in Exports

Interest Rates

Money tends to follow interest rates. If interest rates go up, money will flow into the country from all over the world as investors seek to capitalize higher returns. To determine whether interest rates will rise or fall, investors pay attention to economic inflation indicators as well as speeches by influential figures. Generally, the timing of interest rate moves are known in advance. They take place after regularly scheduled meetings by the BOE, FED, ECB, BOJ, and other central banks.

What Happens If...
GOOD Rise in Interest Rates
BAD Fall in Interest Rates

Political Stability

Election turmoil, changes of government, high unemployment and international conflict all make investors cautious to put their money in a given country. Investors will watch for major news that comes out of a country.

What Happens If...
BAD Geo-Political Tensions
BAD Natural Disaster
BAD Threat of Terrorism

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供
文章來源：http://www.actionforex.com/articles-library/forex-articles/what-moves-forex-rates%3f-200510082389/