長期形態一、帶柄杯子形態

2014-10-22 17:17:43

1988年歐奈爾在《如何在市場中獲利》一書首次對這一形態的分析。帶柄杯子形態的形成需要長達數週。

帶柄杯子形態在第一輪上升趨勢之後,會繼續形成第二輪的上升趨勢。帶柄杯子形態也是上升三角形態的一種。杯子形態的形成至少需要七週時間,一些甚至會達到一年。杯柄的形成時間為2週和幾個月不等。

舉例:

1998~1999年的兩個頭肩頂形態:
1.jpg 
1. 杯子的起點從一個新高[1]處開始;
2. 在價格從[1]處的高度下降了50%左右,這就是杯子形態的高度,杯柄高度通常是該高度的10%~30%。
3. 隨後第二處高峰在[3]處形成,比[1]處稍低。
4. 當杯柄高度突破[3]處高度就表示杯柄形態的完成。杯柄應該在杯子形態的上半部分。杯柄的確認是為以後的突破阻力做準備。
5. 隨著帶柄杯子形態的結束,[5]處出現了一個小的帶柄杯子形態。[5]處的形態隨著杯柄突破$4.00而完成。交易量在杯柄的短暫積聚之後,價格突破阻力大幅上升。.

需要避免的形態:
• 杯底呈“V”型。因為只有柔和的U型才能證明底部有效的支撐能力。
• 杯柄太深:杯柄的高度應該在杯子形態的上半部分。

交易信號

在杯柄的突破處做多,並在最近的地點處設置止損。

舉例:
2.jpg 
1. 帶柄杯子形態的形成;
2. 杯子形態的結束和杯柄的開始形成;
3. 在[3]處突破[2]處的高點後做多;
4. 在杯柄的低點設置止損。

 

Cup and Handle
Cup and handle patterns were first identified by William J O'Neil in his book How To Make Money In Stocks. The cup and handle is a longer term continuation pattern, normally observed on weekly charts.
The cup and handle forms as an intermediate/secondary cycle correction before the primary cycle resumes its up-trend. The pattern is a form of (ascending) triangle.
The cup pattern should take a minimum of 7 weeks to form. There is no upper limit with some patterns taking as long as a year. The handle may form over one or two weeks but may also take several months.
EXAMPLE
Newcrest Mining Limited (Australia) exhibits 2 cup and handle patterns over 1998/1999.
6. The cup commences with a new peak [1], formed after a strong up-trend.
7. A secondary correction occurs, with price falling +/- 50% from the peak at [1]. This is high - cup and handle corrections normally vary between 10% and 30%.
8. The stock then forms a second peak at [3], slightly lower than the first.
9. The handle is completed [4] when price breaks above the intervening peak [3]. The handle should form in the top half of the cup pattern, with volume contracting as the trough forms and then expanding on the breakout.
10. A smaller cup and handle pattern follows with the cup completed at [5] and the handle completed by the subsequent breakout above $4.00. Again, observe how volume contracts as the handle forms and then rises sharply at the breakout.
Patterns to avoid:
• "Cups" with a sharp "V" bottom. The more "U" shaped the cup bottom is, the stronger the signal.
• Handles which are too deep. The handle should form in the top half of the cup pattern.
Volume Confirmation
Volume should contract as the handle forms and then expand on the breakout.
Trading Signals
Go long at the breakout from the handle pattern with a stop below the most recent low in the handle pattern.
EXAMPLE
United Energy Limited (Australia) shows a cup and handle pattern.
5. Start of the cup pattern.
6. The intervening peak completes the "cup" and starts the "handle".
7. Go long at the breakout [3] above the high of [2].
8. Place a stop-loss below the most recent low in the handle pattern.

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供

原文地址:http://www.incrediblecharts.com/technical/cup_and_handle.php

 承諾與聲明

兄弟財經是全球歷史最悠久,信譽最好的外匯返佣代理。多年來兄弟財經兢兢業業,穩定發展,獲得了全球各地投資者的青睞與信任。歷經十餘年的積澱,打造了我們在業内良好的品牌信譽。

本文所含内容及觀點僅為一般信息,並無任何意圖被視為買賣任何貨幣或差價合約的建議或請求。文中所含内容及觀點均可能在不被通知的情況下更改。本文並未考 慮任何特定用戶的特定投資目標、財務狀況和需求。任何引用歷史價格波動或價位水平的信息均基於我們的分析,並不表示或證明此類波動或價位水平有可能在未來 重新發生。本文所載信息之來源雖被認為可靠,但作者不保證它的準確性和完整性,同時作者也不對任何可能因參考本文内容及觀點而產生的任何直接或間接的損失承擔責任。

外匯和其他產品保證金交易存在高風險,不適合所有投資者。虧損可能超出您的賬戶註資。增大槓桿意味著增加風險。在決定交易外匯之前,您需仔細考慮您的財務目標、經驗水平和風險承受能力。文中所含任何意見、新聞、研究、分析、報價或其他信息等都僅 作與本文所含主題相關的一般類信息.

同時, 兄弟財經不提供任何投資、法律或稅務的建議。您需向合適的顧問徵詢所有關於投資、法律或稅務方面的事宜。