快速波動的外匯市場中，大的波動似乎不知道其原因來自何處。對於外匯新手來說，了解塑造外匯市場各種經濟數據、新聞事件、央行公佈的結果等及其重要。事實上，快速地掌握如何去獲得、獲得哪些數據、數據意味著什麼以及如何利用數據交易是交易者盈利的關鍵，是走向長期成功之路的基石。
根據技術圖表交易或許可以帶來巨大盈利，但是交易者必須清楚地意識到最終推動市場走勢的基本面。下面是我們列出的5個最重要的新聞/經濟數據，你現在就應該知道！。
5大市場新聞事件
1.央行的利率決議
全世界的央行都要商議各自所負責的經濟體的利率。它們需要作出關於維持利率不變、提高或降低利率的決議。它們的決定對於該經濟體的貨幣非常重要，因此，交易者需要格外關註。
利率的增加通常視為該貨幣的牛市（意思是貨幣的價值增加），利率降低為熊市（貨幣價值降低），利率不變可以是牛市也可以是熊市，取決於該經濟體當時的市場解讀。
決議的本身以及央行發表的關於整體經濟、以及經濟未來發展的看法十分關鍵。這也是央行發表貨幣政策的時候，比如是否會實行QE政策等。你可以根據利率決議作出很好的交易，比如，自從歐央行在2014年9月削減利率至0.05%，歐美至今已經下降了2000點。
2.GDP
國内生產總值是國家經濟健康狀況的一個重要指標。一個國家的央行每年都會對經濟發展作出預測，而衡量國家經濟發展速度的就是GDP。當GDP低於市場預期時，貨幣價值趨於下降；GDP大於市場預期時，貨幣價值上升。因此，外匯交易者敏銳地捕捉這些數據，並小心的利用它預測央行的行動。
當日本的GDP在2014年9月令人震驚地下降了1.6%，美日大幅下跌。交易者預測日央行將會進一步幹預。
3.CPI (通貨膨脹數據)
在衆多衡量通貨膨脹的經濟指標中，消費者價格指數得到了最廣泛的應用。該指標給出了消費者購買一籃子商品所需要的歷史價格信息，並突出了消費者是否會為同樣多的貨物支付更多或者更少的價錢。
央行監測CPI數據，並以此來指導它們的利率決議。如果通貨膨脹十分明顯且超出某一目標，那麼央行就會提高利率來應對通貨膨脹。
2014年11月，加拿大CPI超出市場預期的2.2%，達到2.3%，隨後加元兌日元利率上漲到6年來的高點。
4.失業率
一個國家的失業率對於市場十分關鍵，央行將其作為經濟健康程度的一個重要指標。較高的就業率會使利率上升，因為央行的目標是平衡通貨膨脹。因此，該數據也會得到交易者的大大關註。
與失業率聯系密切的兩個最重要的勞動力數據是美國每月公佈的ADP就業數據以及非農（NFP），其中後者尤為重要。我們每個月都會預測非農數據，並分析如何根據非農結果交易。鑒於美聯儲當前的加息預期，非農數據的重要性每個月都相繼增加。ADP就業數據是非農數據公佈前的一個重要預測工具。
5.美聯邦公開市場會議（FOMC）
所有經濟體的央行會議是非常重要的，尤其是美聯邦公開市場會議，因為當前美元是世界的儲備貨幣。每個月委員會都會設定利率並就當前的經濟情況、貨幣政策發表聲明，同時對未來經濟以及貨幣政策做出預測。與會者會對鷹派的增加利率以及鴿派的削減利率進行投票。
FOMC發表的聲明被交易者敏銳地審查，他們希望通過此找出未來關於央行如何決議的線索，即使最無關緊要的說辭也會帶來大的市場波動。比如近期美聯儲關於加息使用以及去除“病人”這個詞語。
FOMC會議可能會導致巨大的市場波動。比如2015年3月18日，市場認為該會議將會對美元帶來負面影響，歐美在幾分鐘内大漲400點。這些央行會議也是我們獲知貨幣政策任何改變的地方，比如QE政策的宣佈。這對外匯交易者十分重要。自從歐央行1月22日宣佈它們最新的QE政策，歐美已經下跌了600多點。
所有經濟數據以及新聞的重要性不在於它實際意味著什麼，而在於市場如何預期以及接下來的市場反應，這也就是我們的交易機會所在。由於波動劇烈以及充滿不確定性，新手交易新聞數據是非常困難的，幸運的是，我們可以借助一些非常好的技術指標交易消息時段。
5 Forex News Events You Need To Know
In the fast moving world of currency markets where huge moves can seemingly come from nowhere, it is extremely important for new traders to learn about the various economic indicators and forex news events and releases that shape the markets. Indeed, quickly getting a handle on which data to look out for, what it means, and how to trade it can see new traders quickly become far more profitable and sets up the road to long term success.
Trading technical chart patterns can be extremely profitable but one must always be aware of the fundamental story which is ultimately driving the markets. Below we have listed five of the most important News Releases/Economic Indicators you need to know right now!
Top 5 Market News Events
1.Central Bank Rate Decision
Each month the various Central Banks of the world’s economies meet to decide over the interest rates they are responsible for. The decision they have to make is whether to leave rates unchanged, raise rates or lower rates and the outcome of this decision is extremely important to the currency of the economy and as such, to traders.
An increase in rates is generally seen as bullish for the currency (meaning it will increase in value) and a decrease in rates is generally bearish for the currency (meaning it will decrease in value) whilst an unchanged decision can be either bullish or bearish depending on the perception of the economy at the time.
Whilst the actual decision itself is crucial, so too is the accompanying policy statement here the Central Bank gives it’s overview of the economy and how they view the future outlook. This is also where monetary policy is announced, which concerns vital matters such as the implementation of QE, which we explain thoroughly in our Forex Mastercourse.
Some of the best trades you can make come from rate decisions, for example, since the ECB cut the EuroZone rate to 0.05% in September 2014, EURUSD has since fallen by over 2000 pips.
2.GDP
The Gross Domestic Product is an important indicator of economic health in a country. A country’s central bank has expected growth outlooks each year that determine how fast a country should grow, as measured by GDP.
When GDP falls below market expectations, currency values tend to fall and when GDP outdoes expectations, currency values tend to rise. As such this figure’s release is keenly observed by currency traders and can be used to cautiously anticipate Central Bank movements.
When Japan’s GDP shockingly shrunk 1.6% in November 2014, the JPY fell sharply against the Dollar as traders anticipated further Central Bank intervention.
3.CPI (Inflation Data)
Consumer Price Index is the most widely used inflation measure out of the various economic indicators. The index gives information about the historical average prices paid by consumers for a basket of market goods and highlights whether the same goods are costing more or less for consumers.
Central Banks monitor this release to help guide them in their rate and policy setting. If inflation is seen to be evident, and moving beyond a certain target then interest rate rises are used to counter this.
In November 2014, Canadian CPI beat market expectations of 2.2% and came in at 2.3% with Canadian Dollar subsequently traded up to a six year high against the Japanese Yen.
4.Unemployment Rate
The unemployment rate of a country is crucial to markets given its importance to Central Banks as an indicator of the health of an economy. Higher employment leads to interest rate rises as Central Banks aim to balance inflation with growth and as such this figure draws huge market attention from traders.
Alongside the Unemployment rate the two most important labour statistics are the US ADP and NFP figures released each month with the NFP taking prime position. This figure is so important we do an NFP preview each month giving you our analysis on the release and how to trade it. Given the market’s current attention to the likely date of a Fed rate hike, this figure is growing in importance each month.
The ADP data is considered an important predictive tool for the NFP as it is released beforehand.
5.FOMC Meeting
Although the central bank meetings of all economies are extremely important, America’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting takes canter stage as the US Dollar is currently the world’s reserve currency.
Each month the committee meets to set rates and to give it’s pronouncement on current economic conditions and the effectiveness of current monetary policy, casting an eye forward to expectations of future economic conditions and adjoining monetary policy.
The committee is made up of members which vote at each meeting with “Hawkish” members those in favour of a rate rise and “Dovish” members those favouring a lowering of rates.
The statement released by the Committee is keenly scrutinized by traders looking for clues as to how the Central Bank will behave in future and even the most seemingly inconsequential of terminology can cause large market moves, as seen recently concerning the Fed’s usage and then removal of the term “patient”, regarding rate hikes.
FOMC meetings can cause huge market volatility as seen on March 18th 2015 when EURUSD spiked up 400 pips in a matter of minutes as markets perceived the meeting to be USD negative.
These Central Bank meetings are where we also learn about any changes in monetary policy, such as the announcement of quantitative easing. This is extremely important to currency traders and we explain this topic fully within our course.
Since the ECB announced their latest QE program on Jan 22nd of this year, EURUSD has fallen by over 600 pips
The key thing with all economic indicators and news releases is not just what the actual release means but how the market anticipates the release and subsequently reacts to it, this is where the trading opportunities are created. It can be extremely difficult for new traders seeking to trade news events as the volatility and uncertainty can be overwhelming, fortunately we have a fantastic suite of indicators which are perfect for trading news events.
本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供，文章來源：http://www.fxstreet.com/education/forex-basics/5-forex-news-events-you-need-to-know/2015/04/24/