Alan Farley 2016年9月1日
歐元的全球流通量排在第二為，僅在美元之後，它後面是日元和英鎊。外匯交易者通過對貨幣對實時漲跌的判斷進行歐元投機。盡管外匯經紀商提供幾十種歐元貨幣對，但是大多數客戶主要關註以下六種主要貨幣對：
EUR/USD（歐元/美元）
EUR/CHF（歐元/瑞郎）
EUR//JPY（歐元/日元）
EUR/GBP（歐元/英鎊）
EUR/AUD（歐元/澳元）
EUR/CAD（歐元/加元）
美國的歐元交易從週日晚上持續到下週的週五下午，為交易者提供巨大的獲利機會。然而，每天的交易量和價格波動幅度很大，非主要貨幣對的點差在安靜時期將會加大而在活躍時間將會降低。
許多外匯交易者將所有精力都集中在EUR/USD上，該貨幣對是最受環境和外匯市場中流通性最大的。該貨幣對在一天中的點差都非常小，多種日内影響使得該貨幣對將波動能在所有時框架的買賣方向都形成可交易區間。
歐元價格催化劑
交易歐元最好的時機是經濟數據剛剛發佈時，以及股票、期權和期貨交易所開盤時間。對數據發佈的提前準備需要進行雙邊研究，因為歐元區的催化劑可以使主要貨幣對受到相同強度的影響。此外，由於EUR/USD貨幣對的至關重要，美國經濟數據可以對所有貨幣產生最大影響。
另外，歐元貨幣對很容易受到那些引發全球股市、貨幣和債券產生類似價格波動的經濟和政治宏觀事件的影響。2015年8月的人民幣貶值就是一個完美的例子。即使是自然災害也會產生這種類型的相關反應，2011年日本海嘯就證明了這一點。
經濟數據
歐元區的月度經濟數據通常在美國東部時間下午兩點發佈。數據發佈之前的30-60分鐘和發佈之後的1-3小時是歐元貨幣對交易非常活躍時間，因為這一數據至少會對五個主要貨幣對中的三個產生影響。對經濟數據發佈的準備還將重疊到美國交易日，引發大西洋兩岸交易量同時大增。
美國經濟數據通常在東部時間上午8：30和10：00之間發佈，也將引發歐元交易量大增，有很高的幾率形成主要歐元貨幣的強烈區間價格波動。日本的經濟數據引發的關註小很多，因為該數據通常會在美國東部時間的下午十點4：30和10：00之間發佈，當時歐元區正處於午夜的夢鄉中。即便如此，EUR/JPY和EUR/USD的交易量也可以在這個時間大幅度上升。
歐元和股票交易所時間
許多歐元交易者的時間表大致與交易所時間一致，他們的交易活動集中法蘭克福和紐約股票交易所以及芝加哥期貨和期權市場的開盤時間。這種分佈導致美國東部海岸午夜時間的交易量大增，這種趨勢將持續一夜並延續到美國的午飯時間，之後外匯交易量可能會出現大幅下降。
然而，中央銀行會議議程會改變這一活動週期，全球所有的交易員都會在美國東部時間下午2點這個聯邦市場公開會議的利率決定發佈或者會議之前坐在桌子前。英格蘭銀行的利率決定發佈於美國時間的下午7點，歐洲中港銀行的則是在美國東部時間的上午7：45分。
總結
六種歐元的主要貨幣對向歐元交易者提供多種短期和長期機會。交易這些貨幣對的時間應該與數據發佈的美國東部時間上午1點30分、上午2點、上午10點一致，同時也可以是歐洲和美國交易所使所有貨幣對市場活躍和流動的午夜和中午。
These Are The Best Hours To Trade the Euro (EURUSD)
By Alan Farley | Updated September 1, 2016 — 5:23 PM EDT
The euro (EUR) ranks second behind the U.S. dollar (USD) in terms of global liquidity, trailed by the Japanese yen (JPY) and British pound (GBP). Forex traders speculate on EUR strength and weakness through currency pairs that establish comparative value in real-time. Although brokers offer dozens of related crosses, most clients focus their attention on the six most popular pairs:
U.S. dollar (USD) - EUR/USD
Swiss franc (CHF) - EUR/CHF
Japanese yen (JPY) - EUR//JPY
British pound (GBP) - EUR/GBP
Australian dollar (AUD) - EUR/AUD
Canadian dollar (CAD) - EUR/CAD
EUR trades continuously from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon in the United States, offering significant opportunities for profit. However, volume and volatility can fluctuate greatly in each 24-hour cycle, with bid/ask spreads in the less popular pairs widening during quiet periods and narrowing during active periods. While the ability to open and close positions at any time marks a key benefit of forex, the majority of trading strategies unfold during active periods.
Many forex traders focus their full attention on the EUR/USD cross, the most popular and liquid currency market in the world. The cross maintains a tight spread throughout the 24-hour cycle, while multiple intraday catalysts ensure that price actions will set up tradable trends in both directions and along all time frames. Long- and short-term swings also work extremely well with classic range-bound strategies, including swing trading and trading channels.
Euro Price Catalysts
The best time to trade the euro coincides with the release of economic data, as well as the open hours at equity, options and futures exchanges. Planning ahead for these data releases requires two-sided research because local (eurozone) catalysts can move popular pairs with the same intensity as catalysts in each of the cross venues. Moreover, U.S. economic data can have the greatest impact on all currencies, due to the overriding importance of the EUR/USD pair.
In addition, EUR crosses are vulnerable to economic and political macro events that trigger highly correlated price actions across equities, currencies and bond markets around the world. China’s devaluation of the yuan in August 2015 offers a perfect illustration. Even natural disasters have the power to generate this type of coordinated response, as evidenced by the 2011 Japanese tsunami.
Economic Releases
Eurozone monthly economic data is generally released at 2 a.m. Eastern Time (ET) in the United States. The time segment from 30 to 60 minutes prior to these releases and one to three hours afterwards highlights an enormously popular period to trade EUR pairs because the news will impact at least three of the five most popular crosses. It also overlaps the run-up into the U.S. trading day, drawing in significant volume from both sides of the Atlantic.
U.S. economic releases tend to be released between 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. ET and generate extraordinary EUR trading volume as well, with high odds for strongly trending price movement in the most popular pairs. Japanese data releases get less attention because they tend to come out at 4:30 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET, when the eurozone is in the middle of their sleep cycle. Even so, trading volume with the EUR/JPY and EUR/USD pairs can spike sharply around these time zones.
Euro and Equity Exchange Hours
The schedules for many EUR traders roughly follow exchange hours, centering their activity when the Frankfurt and New York equity markets and Chicago futures and options markets are open for business. This localization generates an increase in trading volume around midnight on the U.S. East Coast, continuing through the night and into the American lunch hour, when forex trading activity can drop sharply.
However, central bank agendas shift this activity cycle, with forex traders around the world staying at their desks when the Federal Reserve (FOMC) is scheduled to release a 2 p.m. ET interest rate decision or the minutes of the prior meeting. The Bank of England (BOE) issues its rate decisions at 7 a.m. ET, while theEuropean Central Bank (ECB) follows at 7:45 a.m. ET, with both releases taking place in the center of high volume EUR activity.
The Bottom Line
Six popular currency pairs offer euro traders a wide variety of short- and long-term opportunities. The best times to trade these instruments coincide with key economic releases at 1:30 a.m., 2 a.m., 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time, as well as between midnight and noon, when European and American exchanges keep all cross markets active and liquid.
本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供
文章來源：http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/090115/these-are-best-hours-trade-euro.asp