這些是交易歐元的最好時間

Alan Farley 2015年9月1日

 歐元的流動性在美元之後排在全球第二位，在它後面是日圓和英鎊。交易員根據實時比較的歐元強弱進行投資。雖然匯商提供幾十種相關的貨幣對，但是大多數客戶都將註意力放在六組最受歡迎的貨幣對上：

EUR/USD

EUR/CHF

EUR/JPY

EUR/GBP

EUR/AUD

EUR/CAD

歐元交易在美國從週日晚上持續到週五下午，提供巨大的獲利機會。然而，交易量和波動可以在一天內波動很大，點差在平靜時間很大但是在活躍時間則減小。雖然在任何時間都可以開倉是外匯的關鍵標志，但是大多數交易策略都是在活躍時間展開的。

許多外匯交易員把全部精力放在EUR/USD上。該貨幣對在一天中的點差都很小，而多個盤中催化因素將確保價格活動在趨勢和所有時間框架內都是可交易的。長期和短期波動也能非常好的與經典的窄幅波動的策略結合，包括波段交易和走勢通道。

歐元價格催化劑

歐元交易的最佳時機是恰逢經濟數據的發佈、以及股票、期貨和期權的交易時間。對這些數據的提前計劃需要兩方面的研究，因為歐元區催化因素可以推動所有主要貨幣對相同強度的移動。此外，因為 EUR/USD極其重要的地位美國經濟數據可能對所有主要貨幣產生巨大影響。

另外，歐元貨幣對容易受到經濟和政治宏觀事件的影響。8月份的人民幣貶值提供了一個很好的诠釋。甚至自然災害也能產生類似的效果，2011年的日本海嘯就證明了這一點。

經濟數據

歐元區的經濟數據通常在美國東部時間上午兩點發佈。數據發佈之前的30分鐘到60分鐘和發佈之後的1到3個小時是交易歐元貨幣對的最活躍時間，因為新聞將對至少對五種主要貨幣對中的三種產生影響。這種影響還會重複到美國交易日，使大洋兩岸產生巨大的交易量。

美國經濟數據通常在東部時間上午8：30到10點發佈同時也產生巨大的歐元交易量。日本經濟數據的發佈時間是在歐元區的睡眠時間，所以引起的關註較少。即使這樣，在這些時間EUR/JPY和EUR/USD交易量也可能劇烈上升。

許多歐元交易員的交易計劃大致跟隨交易時間，集中他們的交易活動在法蘭克福和紐約股票交易所和芝加哥期貨和期權市場的營業時間。這種定位使美國東部時間午夜左右的交易量劇烈增長，持續到美國午飯時間，然後交易量大幅下降。

然而，中央銀行議程改變這個活動週期，當美國聯邦儲備委員會(FOMC)下午2點將發佈利率決定或者之前的會議記錄時世界各地的外匯交易員都呆在辦公桌前。英格蘭銀行在美國東部時間上午七點發佈其利率決定，歐洲央行在美國東部時間上午7：45發佈利率決定，二者的發佈會引起歐元交易量的大量增加。

總結

六個流行的貨幣對為歐元交易員提供了大量的長短期交易機會。交易這些工具最好的時間是在關鍵經濟數據發佈的美國東部時間上午1：30、2：00、8：30和10：00，還有歐洲和美國交易所保持所有交叉市場活躍和流動的午夜和中午。

These Are The Best Hours To Trade the Euro 

By Alan Farley | September 01, 2015 

The euro (EUR) ranks second behind the U.S. dollar (USD) in terms of global liquidity, trailed by the Japanese yen (JPY) and British pound (GBP). Forex traders speculate on EUR strength and weakness through currency pairs that establish comparative value in real-time. Although brokers offer dozens of related crosses, most clients focus their attention on the six most popular pairs:

•U.S. dollar (USD) - EUR/USD

•Swiss franc (CHF) - EUR/CHF

•Japanese yen (JPY) - EUR//JPY

•British pound (GBP) - EUR/GBP

•Australian dollar (AUD) - EUR/AUD

•Canadian dollar (CAD) - EUR/CAD

EUR trades continuously from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon in the United States, offering significant opportunities for profit. However, volume and volatility can fluctuate greatly in each 24-hour cycle, with bid/ask spreads in the less popular pairs widening during quiet periods and narrowing during active periods. While the ability to open and close positions at any time marks a key benefit of forex, the majority of trading strategies unfold during active periods.

Many forex traders focus their full attention on the EUR/USD cross, the most popular and liquid currency market in the world. The cross maintains a tight spread throughout the 24-hour cycle, while multiple intraday catalysts ensure that price actions will set up tradable trends in both directions and along all time frames. Long- and short-term swings also work extremely well with classic range-bound strategies, including swing trading and trading channels.

Euro Price Catalysts

The best time to trade the euro coincides with the release of economic data, as well as the open hours at equity, options and futures exchanges. Planning ahead for these data releases requires two-sided research because local (eurozone) catalysts can move popular pairs with the same intensity as catalysts in each of the cross venues. Moreover, U.S. economic data can have the greatest impact on all currencies, due to the overriding importance of the EUR/USD pair.

In addition, EUR crosses are vulnerable to economic and political macro events that trigger highly correlated price actions across equities, currencies and bond markets around the world. China’s devaluation of the yuan in August 2015 offers a perfect illustration. Even natural disasters have the power to generate this type of coordinated response, as evidenced by the 2011 Japanese tsunami.

Economic Releases

Eurozone monthly economic data is generally released at 2 a.m. Eastern Time (ET) in the United States. The time segment from 30 to 60 minutes prior to these releases and one to three hours afterwards highlights an enormously popular period to trade EUR pairs because the news will impact at least three of the five most popular crosses. It also overlaps the run-up into the U.S. trading day, drawing in significant volume from both sides of the Atlantic. 

U.S. economic releases tend to be released between 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. ET and generate extraordinary EUR trading volume as well, with high odds for strongly trending price movement in the most popular pairs. Japanese data releases get less attention because they tend to come out at 4:30 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET, when the eurozone is in the middle of their sleep cycle. Even so, trading volume with the EUR/JPY and EUR/USD pairs can spike sharply around these time zones. 

Euro and Equity Exchange Hours

The schedules for many EUR traders roughly follow exchange hours, centering their activity when the Frankfurt and New York equity markets and Chicago futures and options markets are open for business. This localization generates an increase in trading volume around midnight on the U.S. East Coast, continuing through the night and into the American lunch hour, when forex trading activity can drop sharply.

However, central bank agendas shift this activity cycle, with forex traders around the world staying at their desks when the Federal Reserve (FOMC) is scheduled to release a 2 p.m. ET interest rate decision or the minutes of the prior meeting. The Bank of England (BOE) issues its rate decisions at 7 a.m. ET, while the European Central Bank (ECB) follows at 7:45 a.m. ET, with both releases taking place in the center of high volume EUR activity.

The Bottom Line

Six popular currency pairs offer euro traders a wide variety of short- and long-term opportunities. The best times to trade these instruments coincide with key economic releases at 1:30 a.m., 2 a.m., 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time, as well as between midnight and noon, when European and American exchanges keep all cross markets active and liquid.

本文翻譯由兄弟財經提供

文章來源：http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/090115/these-are-best-hours-trade-euro.asp