4小時MACD 外匯策略

4 Hour MACD Forex Strategy

4小時MACD 外匯策略

Welcome to the 4 Hour MACD Forex Strategy. This strategy is aimed at simplicity as well as high probability trades. I have been in the equity market for almost ten years now and in the forex market for two years. I learned very early that forex trading is not for the shaky ones. One must have a tested and definite trading strategy as well as well organized discipline to follow the strategy and execute the plan as to the letter. One must be exact and precise.

歡迎學習4小時MACD 外匯策略。這個策略是以簡單和高概率交易為目標。我現在已經在投資市場待過差不多10年了，在外匯市場也已經有兩年了。我很早就知道外匯交易不適合常常容易動搖的人。我們必須油一個經得起測試及驗證的交易策略及具有計劃有紀律的按策略交易並執行本文上的計劃。我們必須要嚴格與準確。

Therefore I paper traded for almost two years and read everything I could lay my hands on. I bought books and courses. I attend a 5 day live web seminar. All this did not help me at all as it did not fit my style of personality and I just did not seem to connect with all this different strategies. Over two years of watching the graphs with different indicators, moving averages etc. I started to get a feeling for the movement and motion of the market especially the EurUsd around certain moving averages.

因此，我進行了差不多兩年的模擬交易並把自己能讀的都讀了，我才敢下手寫這篇文章。我買了書和教材。我參加了5天的網路在線研讨。因為它並不符合我個人的性格，而我未能將這些不同的策略聯繫起來，所以，所有的這些對我一點用都沒有。我看了超過兩年的帶有各種指標，移動平均線等的圖表，才開始大致能通過移動平均線來感受到市場，特別是歐元/美元的運行及波動。

It wasn’t till late last year that I discover a setting with the MACD that gives easy to read signals on a regular basis on a 4 hour timeframe. I like the 4 hour timeframe as one are not glued to the screen full time.

去年的不久前我發現macd的一項設定可以讓我更好的有一個基础規則去解讀h4圖表上的信號。我喜歡單一的看h4週期上的圖表而不用看完其他週期的圖表。

If you look at FIG 1 below you will see that there were 14 signals over a period of 5 weeks. Within that period of FIG 1 the signals given were pretty good. There are times when some signals does not produce positive results. I then had to work on a filter system to only let me take the best ones. I found that the MACD when moving in a certain way produces a 95% accuracy. I will show you later how the high probability trades look like.

你可以從下面的FIG 1發現5週內出現14個信號，在FIG 1里給出的信號十分好。但有時候這些信號也會出現失靈。因此我得做一個過濾系統能夠讓我可以捕捉最好的信號。我發現MACD以一定方式運行的時候，它有95%的準確度。下面我將介紹這個高概率交易是怎樣的。

In FIG 1 the signals are shown and FIG 2 shows that an entry is made after the 4 hour bar has closed and at the opening of the next bar.

在FIG 1里展示了這些信號，FIG 2則說明在4H棒子形成後的第二個棒子開盤時介入。

In FIG 3 another 19 deals were shown of which the last one was not finished yet so out of a total of 18 trades 5 were wrong and 13 were right.

在FIG 3里是暫時了另外19筆交易，其中一筆交易未完成外，而18筆交易中得到一個5筆交易失敗，13筆交易正確的結果。

As it is a 4 hour strategy it means sometimes setting the alarm clock to catch an entry in the early morning hours. What makes it nice is that one will know after the close of a 4 hour bar whether the next 4 hour bar might close as a signal by just following the MACD. Therefore one can set an alarm at that time.

因為它是4H策略，這就意味著可以設定一個警鐘來捕捉在早上的介入點。這個策略的好處在於我們可以知道一個4小時的棒子結束後可以通過macd來判斷接下來的棒子是否可做為一個信號進場。因此，我們可以那個時候設定一個警鐘。

Have a look at FIG 1 to 3.

Disclaimer:

As trading in the Forex market is very risky, the reader if going beyond this point and applying the concepts and methods describing in this document do so on his or her own will and risk. The writer and or anyone involved in the compiling of this document will not be held responsible for any losses incurred by using the methods described in this document as no money management nor stoploss levels are discussed as it vary from trader to trader according to there own risk and capital profiles.

看一下FIG1，FIG2，FIG3

免責聲明：

因為外匯市場風險十分大，如果沒有完全理解這一點並應用這篇文章的觀念和方法，風險自負。由於不同眼交易者的風險和資金現狀各異，所以沒有讨論資金管理和止損水平，因此作者及與編輯該文章有關的任何人對有應用該文章的方法導致的任何損失不負責任.

FIGURE 1

FIGURE 3

This was just to see and get a feeling for the graphs. Let us start to set-up our charts.

看看下面的圖表並感受一下，讓我們了解一下圖表的設定。

Moving Averages:

移動平均線：

First of all are the moving Averages that we are going to use.

首先說我們將會用到的移動平均線。

1. 365 Exponential Moving Average (365EMA)

1.365指數移動平均線

2. 200 Simple Moving Average (200SMA)

200移動平均線

3. 89 Simple Moving Average (89SMA)

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