如果你用了規則的給出信號的MACD模式,並且每次出現信號的時候便交易,你絕大多數明確的是在賺錢的。
I haven’t discuss nor used trendlines so far in this document and when you add them it will most definitely helps you in defining your exit levels. The entry level are determine by the MACD but the exit or profit levels is determine by support and resistance levels. I use the moving averages as described earlier as well as Fibonacci levels and then most definitely trendlines and price levels. I normally take the daily graph and draw the trendlines according to it and then go to the 4 hour graph. I makethem nice and thick so that I can see them. Then I draw the different price levels such as 1.2900, 1.3000, 1.3100 etc. It is amazing to see how the price find support and or resistance at these levels. I hope that this document will help you on your way to financial independents.
到目前為止在本文中我並沒有讨論不用趨勢線,而且如果添加他們的話會幫助你更好的確認出場點。進場點有MACD給出而出場點或者盈利水平則有支撐和阻力水平決定。我用前面提到的移動平均線和Fibonacci然後還用一些明確的確實線和價格水平。我通常用日圖並且按照它畫趨勢線,然後4H圖。我把他們畫的很漂亮跟粗,這樣我能方便的看到他們。接著我會畫出不同的價格水平像1.2900, 1.3000,1.3100等。在這些價位可以找到支撐和阻力。
我希望本問對你獨立的金融之路有幫助。
Planning a trade 制定交易計劃
There is different ways in planning a trade but this is how I do it.
制定計劃可以有很多種,而這是我如何做計劃的:
A. This is the entry point determined by the MACD. There is no mystery about the entry. When the MACD satisfy the rules as outlined in the 4 Hour MACD strategy document then enter.
MACD決定的入場點。進場點沒甚麼神秘,只要MACD滿足了4小時MACD策略文章裡的要點時即可進場。
B. This is our first area of partial profit taking. We have 3 barriers namely the 8EMA, 21EMA and the price level of 1.2200 to overcome. Where you set your partial profit taking is up to you. If you can watch it live you can always decide real time otherwise set it at what you feel comfortable with. The order of importance is price level first, then 21EMA and the 8EMA.
獲利的第一個區域。我們有3個阻力線分別是8EMA,21EMA和需要突破的1.2200整位數關口。你可以決定哪一個阻力位做為你的獲利目標。如果你可以現場觀察它,你總能隨時決定平倉,否則你就按你滿意的設置。重要的順序是,整位數價格第一,然後是21EMA,最後是8EMA
C. Next is the 89SMA and the price level of 1.2100. Both very important but the 89SMA normally halts or turn the price around. At this stage I will close everything except 20% of my position if there is still room to go.
接下來就是89SMA和1.2100整位數關口。這些都很重要。但是89SMA通常會價格停頓一下或者價格轉向。在這樣情況下,除非到我的進場價仍有20%的空間可走,否則我會平掉所有頭寸。
D. Just above D we have a trendline that should see our full position closed. It could go to the 200SMA and the blue zone but only when live in front of the computer will I give it still a chance below the trendline.
在D區域上方我們可以看到一根趨勢線,這裡就是我們所有的頭寸應該平掉的地方。價格可能回到SMA200及藍色區域,但如果我不是坐在電腦旁,我不會考慮趨勢線下方的可能。
This is how it worked out. It is easy afterwards but you must plan your trade in advance. The entry is not a factor anymore therefore one can concentrate in managing the trade.
這就是整個計劃的制作了。只要你提前做好計劃,接下來的事情就變得容易了。進場不再是重要的因素,由此,你可以更專註在管理自己的交易。
Take partial profit at B, then another at C and then closed out at D. It completely ignored the 89SMA and went straight down to the trendline. When the trendline was hit the MACD indicated a trade upwards with the 89SMA as first barrier and so on and so on and so on.
得到B區域的盈利,再者C區域,最後在D區域全部平倉。價格完全忽視89SMA的阻力並直接下跌至趨勢線。當碰及趨勢線時,macd指示一個可以89SMA為第一阻力位的做多交易,餘下的我們再重新把計劃進行。
附錄一
I have been on a lot of forums only observing as to the ideas and behavior of
people. This forum is the first one I found where people really exchange some useful and
positive information.
I always asked myself why is it that only about 5% is making a success of it as the
overall claim are amongst brokers. After two years of study and trying about every
strategy I could lay my hands on I come to the conclusion that as people differs in looks
and in perceptions they also differs in their trading perceptions.
Then I saw people act upon their perception and interpretation of what they feel is
the right thing to do. I am right and they are wrong is the type of attitude. Then there are
those that follow someone else religiously as long as he give the direction till he is wrong
three times in a row than it is off to the next system.
Why am I telling you all about this. If you haven’t tested a system over at least 30
live trades (paper trades) you cannot declare it as successful. After 30 trades you will
have the heart of the system engraved inside. What I mean by engraved is that you should
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