4小時MACD 外匯策略

Again I ask you to study the movement of the price around the moving averages. When the price are above the 89SMA the trend is normally up and visa versa. After the price crosses the 89SMA it tends to pullback to the 21EMA before it carry on its direction if it is a trend direction change otherwise it tend to test the 89SMA again and then it runs over and across the 89SMA till it finds direction and then it pulls back to the 21EMA before proceeding on its path.

我再次讓你研究在移動平均線附近的價格運動，當價格在89SMA以上時，趨勢是通常

上漲的，相反在89SMA以下時價格通常會下跌。在價格和89SMA 交叉之後，它通常會回撤到21sma之後才繼續它的原來的方向。如果趨勢改變的話，它就會去再度試探89SMA並且突破89SMA直到確認方向，然後在軌道運行之前再次回撤21EMA。

Here are a live trade I did for someone in explaining how I trade. This is actual

e-mails that I did send. 25 January 2007 21:00 (GMT+2)

下面是解釋我怎樣為某人做的一筆實況交易。這是我確實的發出去的e-mail。25 January 2007 21:00 (GMT+2)

Hi

I took it with 30 pip stoploss and hope I can add to the Gbp one earlier this week. Greetings

我做了30點止損，希望我可以在這週早點的增加gbp。祝賀.

The MACD pulled back to the Zero line and then closes lower which indicate a down move.

MACD拉回到0軸線然後收盤更低，這暗示一波下跌

“Got entry at 1.2955 and has set stoploss at breakeven at 1.2955 when price did hit 1.2935. I am scared for a false breakout below support but now the price can turnaround as I have a free ride.”

在1.2955進場，當價格觸擊1.2935時，把止損設定在平衡點1.2955。我擔心下支撐的假突破，但是現在價格正向我想的那樣輕鬆的反轉了。

“Took 50% profit at 1.2920 and set other half stoploss at 1.2935”

在1.2920平半倉，並且在1.2935設另外半倉的止損。

“Hi

Amazing how it found support with Fibonacci. I wanted to do this trade with you as it developed so that you can see how I go about. I just had a feeling that the price is not going to go down to 1.2900 straight away so I applied fibonacci as there was no other indicator between the entry price and 1.2900. One has to listen to that little voice inside as well. I was stopped out on the other have at 1.2935 so the total gain was 35 pips on 50% and 20 pips on the other 50% for a total of 27.5 pips on full lot.

Not bad for an hour work.

你會驚訝斐波納契數列如何提供支撐的。我想在行情繼續發展時進行這個交易以便讓你明白我如何操作的。我只是感覺價格不會直線下跌到1.2900，所以我用斐波納契數測量進場價至1。2900而不必使用其他指標。這也可以從裡面知曉一些很細微的變化。我在1.2935出掉其他倉位，因此總的收益是一半是35點一半是20點，總盈利是27.5點。

這小時的操作還是不賴的。

This trade however was a bit risky as it was a breakout trade after ten days consolidation testing a trendline angling upwards. One has to evaluate the risk not only in terms of pips but also in terms of strategy and chart pattern. After a breakout the price very often turns back to test the breakout level and then that level becomes either support or resistance in this case it becomes Eur resistance.

這個交易無論怎麼說還是有點風險的，因為它突破之後經過十天的鞏固測試趨勢線之後盤升。要衡量風險，不但表現在可盈利的點數，還表現在對策略及蠟燭形態把握。突破後，價格往往要回測突破位置並且該位置可以是支撐也可以是阻力，既然這樣，那麼它就是eur的阻力。

Stoploss have to be inside the breakout otherwise it can be triggered and then sometimes it can be very big before entry signal is given by the MACD.

止損點必須在突破價格以內，否則在MACD給出進入信號之前，它會觸發，有時止損也要設定得非常大.

Here is what I normally do when the MACD shows a signal but the stoploss are to big in relation to my capital or what I am comfortable with. I enter the trade in three stages with my stoploss set at the same level.

這是當macd給出信號而相對我的資金，所做的止損十分大時我通常的做法或我滿意的做法。我分3步進場，止損也設定在相同的水平。

I stopped counting the pips for the April 2006 testing as it completely convinced me of the success of this method. I randomly tested it using previous years and the results were amazing. Average of 300+ pips per month and then I only trade the trades that gives signals at these times 17:00, 21:00 and 01:00 (GMT +2). It gives between 8-10 deals per month using the mentioned timeframes.. (I use Metatrader and data supply by MIG.)

我停止了計算2006年4月測試所得的點數，因為它已經完全讓我相信這個方法是成功的。我在前些年隨便的測試該方法的使用，而所得的結果讓人驚訝。每月平均300點盈利，我交易那些在17:00, 21:00 和01:00 (GMT +2)出現的交易信號。利用這個方法，它每月給出8－10筆交易信號。（我用mt並且由MIG提供數據）

If you use patterns in the MACD that occur regular that gives results and use them every time they occur you will most definitely make money.

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