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2011-09-08 09:10:03
GANN'S LAW OF PRICE MOVEMENT APPLIED TO TODAYS MARKET
By Gregory L. Meadors (Part 1)
As a young stockbroker, W.D. Gann already suspected that there were unseen causes,
operating behind the scenes that were responsible for price movements in stocks
and commodities. He liked to think that these hidden causes were part of a natural
law that was secretly at work in the markets. As he acquired more knowledge and
developed his theories, Gann systematized his theory of price movement and called
it the "Law of Vibration".
In the Ticker Magazine1 interview Gann states, "In going over the history of markets
and the great mass of related statistics, it soon becomes apparent that certain laws
govern the changes and variations in the value of stocks, and there exists a periodic
or cyclic law which is at the back of all these movements. I soon began to note the
periodical reoccurrence of the rise and fall of stocks and commodities. This led me
to conclude that natural law was the basis of market movements."
Gann believed that all successful men -- be they scientists, doctors, or businessmen,
have devoted years to the study of their particular professions before attempting to
practice them. Similarly, Gann spent many years in the pursuit of knowledge, leaving
no stone unturned. Gann states, "After exhaustive research and investigations of the
known sciences, I discovered that the "Law of Vibration" enabled me to accurately
determine the exact points to which stocks or commodities should rise and fall within
a given time. The working out of this law determines the cause and predicts the effect
long before the Street is aware of either."
Gann concludes by stating, "If we wish to avert failure in speculations we must deal
with causes. Everything in existence is based on exact proportion and perfect
relationship. There is no chance in nature, because mathematical principles of the
highest order lie at the foundations of all things."
What does Gann mean when he refers to the highest order, vibrations, and cycles?
Some are familiar with cycles research which attempts to understand price cycles in
the markets, but many times this study is ineffective because all the supposed regular
time cycles are in fact irregular, occurring at varying time intervals. Since "Time" is
based upon the Earths rotation and its cycle around the Sun, all standard time cycles
have an Earth/Sun planetary base.
However, by studying other planetary cycles, we readily observe both regular
(heliocentric), and irregular (geocentric) cycles.
Of all the sources which Gann studied, perhaps the one who most influenced him was
Pythagoras, who started a school of philosophy, and believed that an object could be
understood by knowing its number vibration. Pythagoras is credited with the discovery
of the Diatonic Scale, in which numbers and ratios determine the whole science of
music.
Having established music as a science, consisting of exact harmonic ratios,
Pythagoras then proceeded to divide all Creation, according to the law of harmonic
intervals, into proportionate planes and spheres, each of which was assigned a
number, tone, harmonic interval, and color.
Ganns "Law of Vibration" incorporates Pythagoras Law of Harmonic Intervals. It is
obvious that Gann drew heavily from Pythagorean mathematics, when he developed
the squaring of "Price and Time", and the ratios by which highs and lows could be
divided. A lesser known part of the Pythagorean System includes numbers ruling
planets, and the ratios of their orbits, which are in harmonic relationships to each
other. This harmonic organization of the cosmos was called the "Music of the
Spheres."
While it is well known that Ganns primary market timing tool was based upon cosmic
correlations, what is not understood my most Gann adherents is that Ganns Astro
work was based upon empirical research, irrespective of traditional astrological
doctrines. Gann makes this clear when he states, "these vibratory forces can only be
known by the movements they generate on the stocks and their values in the market".
In other words, to obtain a high degree of accuracy when applying natural cycles, one
must learn through empirical research which cosmic cycles and events correlate
historically with particular Stocks, Indexes, or Commodities. This can only be
ascertained by doing original research to discover the historical correlations!
For example, the October 19, 1987 Crash low was perfectly timed by the 84 year
Uranus Cycle. Uranus reached the exact same position in the Heavens where it was
on November 9, 1903, the day of the 1903 Crash low.
The 1987 Crash was preceded by the August "Harmonic Convergence", a rare
planetary alignment which was widely advertised in the mass media (see Newsweek,
8/17/87). Our March 1987 forecast for a major top to occur at the New Moon on
August 24th and to be followed by a 3 month correction perfectly timed the 1987
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兄弟財經是全球歷史最悠久,信譽最好的外匯返佣代理。多年來兄弟財經兢兢業業,穩定發展,獲得了全球各地投資者的青睞與信任。歷經十餘年的積澱,打造了我們在業内良好的品牌信譽。
本文所含内容及觀點僅為一般信息,並無任何意圖被視為買賣任何貨幣或差價合約的建議或請求。文中所含内容及觀點均可能在不被通知的情況下更改。本文並未考 慮任何特定用戶的特定投資目標、財務狀況和需求。任何引用歷史價格波動或價位水平的信息均基於我們的分析,並不表示或證明此類波動或價位水平有可能在未來 重新發生。本文所載信息之來源雖被認為可靠,但作者不保證它的準確性和完整性,同時作者也不對任何可能因參考本文内容及觀點而產生的任何直接或間接的損失承擔責任。
外匯和其他產品保證金交易存在高風險,不適合所有投資者。虧損可能超出您的賬戶註資。增大槓桿意味著增加風險。在決定交易外匯之前,您需仔細考慮您的財務目標、經驗水平和風險承受能力。文中所含任何意見、新聞、研究、分析、報價或其他信息等都僅 作與本文所含主題相關的一般類信息.
同時, 兄弟財經不提供任何投資、法律或稅務的建議。您需向合適的顧問徵詢所有關於投資、法律或稅務方面的事宜。
《通向財務自由之路》的作者範K·撒普博士指出:交易成本是影響交易績效的重要因素之一。很少有交易系統可以創造比它的成本更高的利潤。通過外匯返佣代理開戶,可以大幅有效的降低交易成本,從而提升獲利潛能、改善交易績效。
風險提示:
金融產品保證金交易存在極高的風險,未必適合所有的投資者,請不要相信任何高額投資收益的誘導而貿然投資! 在您決定投資槓桿類金融產品時,請務必考慮您的經驗水平和風險承受能力,投資導致的損失有可能超過存入的資金,因此您不應該以不能承受損失的資金來投資!投資風險不僅來自於槓桿交易,也有可能來自於交易商, 請仔細甄選合規的交易商以規避風險!所有投資者的交易帳戶應僅限本人使用,不應交予第三方操作,任何由接受第三方喊單、操盤等服務而導致的風險和虧損應自己承擔,責任自負!
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投資者在兄弟財經進行任何咨詢行為均代表接受和認可上述聲明!
所有投資者均為自行選擇且直接前往交易商官網進行投資行為(包括提交開戶資料和存取資金),兄弟財經不承擔客戶與交易商之間的交易争議及由交易商問題造成經濟損失的責任。 如果您不了解槓桿類金融產品市場的風險,請千萬不要參與相關投資交易!
請確保您具備以下條件:專業級的投資知識與能力;可以承受損失的資本(虧損不會導致負債或影響生活)。否則切勿參與槓桿交易。